FACT: THE DAK DEAL IS WHACK.
Dak Prescott is going to make 75M for the 2021-22 season, and I am predicting that he does not even start all 16 games. Go ahead, bookmark this page, and send me your hate message on twitter (@sundancebrennan), but remember me in January when you are watching some other team play in the Super Bowl.
Here are 3 Reason Dak Prescott is going to make Jerry Jones look like a fool.
#3 – No more money to spread around for talent.
The salary cap is lower this year by 8% and that is a big enough hit to make a difference. Dak’s deal is structured so that his signing bonus is spread out and his count against the salary cap is only $22.2M in 2021, but that’s only part of the story. His cap hit climbs to $33.2M in 2022 and $44.2M in 2023. With those kinds of numbers, it starts to impact the long term deals that other quality players would want. The Cowboys should be very concerned about their offensive line right now, it’s a house of cards and there aren’t a lot of quality players available left in the deck in case of emergency.
#2 – Injuries, injuries, injuries.
Dak faces an uphill battle on 3 fronts due to his injury. First, we must recognize that most professional players come back from an injury like this unable to return to their peak performance. Dak could be the exception to this, but often players need a year or two before they have fully adapted and are able to reach pre-injury success levels. Second, Dak’s aggressive playing style is going to get him in trouble. He will not be able to take off and run the same way he used to, and when he tries his body is not going to respond the same way it did before and that’s when players hurt themselves. Third, his offensive line has also had a few injuries and they are another year older, so if his receivers cannot get open then Dak’s going to take hits. Dak is going to get hit a lot, or he’s going to hurt himself doing something his body no longer can. If I played the Cowboys, I would dial up the pressure all day long.
#1 – Dak is not getting you to the Super Bowl.
Dak was top 10 good before the injury, but he was not going to get the Cowboys to the Super Bowl before his injury and he certainly is not going to now. The only reason you pay someone $75M this year, with another $20M fully guaranteed is because you think they can put the team on their back and get you a ring. If Jerry Jones is thinking that Dak Prescott is going to come in and magically make the rest of the team and coaching better, he’s wrong. Dak does not have the support he needs to find long term success; both he and his O-Line are banged up and headed for more injuries and Dak didn’t get The Boys to the Super Bowl in 2019 before all of this happened and they aren’t a better team now. If you always do what you’ve always done, you’ll always get what you’ve already gotten.
Cowboys are going 8-8 in 2021 and only have an outside shot at getting into the expanded wildcard playoff slot.
Dak was fun to watch, and I hope he is again. It’s always fun to root for the comeback kid.